After tonight:
#3: Boston: .579% (95 point pace)
#7: Islanders: .601% (99 point pace)
#8: Philly: .580% (95 point pace)
#9: Detroit: .572% (94 point pace)
To get to 94:
Florida: 0-6-1 (.071%)
Tampa: 0-5-1 (.083%)
Penguins: 1-6-0 (.143%)
Islanders: 2-5-1 (.313%)
Flyers: 3-3-1 (.500%)
Boston: 3-3-0 (.500%)
Detroit: 3-2-1 (.583%)
According to sportsclubstats Flyers playoff odds now at 70.9%.
And here is the chance of play-offs depending on how they finish:
2-4-1 (92pts) = 24.3%
3-4-0 (93pts) = 50.2%
3-3-1 (94pts) = 69.4%
4-3-0 (95pts) = 89.4%
4-2-1 (96pts) = 96.7%
It is pretty unlikely they would 'need' 95 now to get it though...I've been thinking for a few weeks that 95 should be the target.
as that would require:
Detroit to go 4-2-0
Boston to go 3-2-1
bearing in mind they play each other once and Detroit play the Flyers too it will basically mean one of those two teams has to win every game that is not a head to head for both of those to happen!
and even still if the Flyers went 4-3-0 to get 95 that would probably be good enough even if the other two got to 95... as I imagine they would be tied in ROW with Boston in that scenario... but have the 2nd tiebreaker.
I mean, if the Flyers beat Detroit that would mean:
The Flyers have to go 2-3-1 in their other 6 remaining games for 94.
Detroit have to go 3-1-1 in their other 5 remaining games for 94.
Basically... just beat Detroit and they *should* be in barring catastrophe elsewhere.
7 zápasů do konce základní části:
vs. WASHINGTON
vs. OTTAWA
@ PITTSBURGH
@ DETROIT
vs. TORONTO
vs. PITTSBURGH
@ NY ISLANDERS
6 zápasů do konce základní části:
@ MONTREAL
vs. MINNESOTA
@ TORONTO
vs. PHILADELPHIA
@ BOSTON
@ NY RANGERS
6 zápasů do konce základní části:
@ NEW JERSEY
@ ST. LOUIS
@ CHICAGO
vs. CAROLINA
vs. DETROIT
vs OTTAWA
Nechci tady teď tipovat, kdo kolik bodů získá, kdo kde s kým má jakou šanci, jen že mi přijde ten los u všech tak nějak stejně vyrovnanej. No, každopádně si tuhle situaci užívejme, letos jsme PO snad nikdo nečekal a my stále máme reálnou šanci! LET'S GO FLYERS!